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The idea of the American media conglomerate acquiring ITV has sparked apprehensions about the consequences on the UK's public service broadcasting, a situation that Channel 4’s new CEO, who previously held a senior post at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be looked to to take a leading role to thwart her former employer’s acquisition bid to safeguard Channel 4.

The proposed merger of Sky and ITV’s terrestrial and streaming assets would leave Channel 4 a relative commercial minnow in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reviving debate of the need to reconsider some form of alliance with the BBC for future viability.

Immediate Alarm: The Future of News

However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news output that are causing the most present anxiety for many within the television industry.

The unexpected announcement last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is financially rational. Traditional broadcasters are facing a long-term existential threat as audiences and revenues continue to decisively move to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn takeover of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of independence, is laden with regulatory, political, and competition problems.

At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its far-reaching regional news operation—and become the biggest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a dominant share—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be significantly influential in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.

“If a deal materialises, the fate of ITN is an critical one that will focus minds politically,” says one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Investment Promises and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, increasing its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to operate at a deficit of as much as £80m.

It is understood that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to change the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes obligations to national and regional news.

“There are clearly questions about plurality,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to wield power... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”

An Endangered Model

British TV executives have previously highlighted the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being acquired by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “endangered species” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had exceeded ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

A Call for Collaboration

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the backdrop of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, signals the need for closer collaboration between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK requires and deserves its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a vital strategic need. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that obligates them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

Competition Hurdles

Any deal will necessitate an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will widen the scope of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get cleared,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Funding Problems of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a diminished BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a core budgetary challenge,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly beaten the predictions, but that is just postponing the problem. It’s now beginning to face a crunch point.”

The ongoing saga highlights a larger dilemma for British media: how to safeguard a independent voice and a robust public service ecosystem in an ever more globalised and digitally dominated landscape.